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October 13, 2014

The Volatility Of Premiums

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The stock premium, the annual average return of stocks minus the annual average return of one-month Treasury bills, has historically been high. This fact has, understandably, attracted investors to the stock market. For the period 1927-2013, the stock premium averaged...

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Debunking 8 Common Investing Myths

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You don’t need to pick stocks or eschew all risk to be a good investor. Convenient truths vs. evidence-based investing It’s easy for investors to absorb myths on best investing practices from the media and financial pundits. That’s why it’s...

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Using Factors To Weather Storms

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Today we’ll take a look at how the size and value premiums performed in 12 recessions, identified as such by the National Bureau of Economic Research, occurring in the post-World War II era. During that period, the average length of...

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Problems With Technical Analysis

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There is a wide body of evidence demonstrating the existence of momentum not only in stocks, but across asset classes. There’s also evidence that moving-average indicators provide higher risk-adjusted stock returns in recessions. On the other hand, while major data...

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3 Contrarian Views About Investing

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I am sometimes described as “contrary.” Actually, the more commonly used terms are “opinionated,” “arbitrary” and “judgmental.” There may be varying degrees of truth to all of them. Today, however, rather than temper or minimize my “contrarian” views, I’ve decided...

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